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Red219
525197.8
5702133.2
5213122.4
Blue233
6079102.3
4715115.0
5486123.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270261180200220240280300320340219233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5702
#13
133.21.2
120.8122.0
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
red by 9.5
5486
#28
123.72.0
119.2121.1
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
Second
5213
#11
122.40.9
112.6113.6
Auto14.9
Teleop90.3
End18.7
red by 7.4
4715
#39
115.00.2
112.4112.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.2
End10.8
Third
5251
#31
97.81.3
87.588.8
Auto13.1
Teleop75.5
End18.4
blue by 4.5
6079
#29
102.30.6
103.0102.4
Auto15.6
Teleop77.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed