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Red211
857139.6
32289.6
5072143.5
Blue473
5714125.6
141172.9
4391186.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219404100300500600700211473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#27
143.50.8
140.5141.3
Auto16.0
Teleop107.4
End16.1
blue by 43.2
186.71.2
181.6182.7
Auto29.2
Teleop137.9
End19.7
Second
857
#14
139.60.4
137.4137.0
Auto15.7
Teleop99.1
End22.9
blue by 33.3
141
#1
172.91.0
160.5161.4
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
Third
322
#36
89.60.3
91.591.8
Auto12.1
Teleop66.8
End9.7
blue by 36.1
5714
#34
125.60.0
119.4119.4
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed