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Red350
1596160.0
4715115.0
5878106.4
Blue117
4970177.2
482787.6
5562101.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264307100200400500350117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.01.0
146.1147.1
Auto19.7
Teleop121.9
End18.7
blue by 17.2
177.21.9
168.5170.4
Auto25.9
Teleop128.4
End25.4
Second
4715
#39
115.00.1
112.6112.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.2
End10.8
red by 13.4
5562
#30
101.60.9
102.0102.9
Auto13.5
Teleop77.8
End7.8
Third
5878
#35
106.40.7
102.2101.5
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
red by 18.8
4827
#17
87.60.9
84.785.6
Auto15.0
Teleop73.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed