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Red393
5486123.7
5084152.5
5314151.6
Blue237
5247122.1
6558129.9
6569122.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368253100200300500600700393237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.52.5
137.0139.5
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
red by 22.5
6558
#21
129.91.5
125.3126.9
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7
Second
151.61.8
140.9142.7
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
red by 28.7
6569
#18
122.91.7
113.8115.5
Auto16.1
Teleop92.2
End17.4
Third
5486
#28
123.71.5
121.1122.6
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
red by 1.6
5247
#24
122.10.7
126.2125.5
Auto14.0
Teleop95.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed