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Red147
4375151.5
4377144.8
439098.6
Blue361
5072143.5
141172.9
4835131.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823830100200500600700147361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#12
151.52.2
146.3148.5
Auto16.0
Teleop110.3
End25.2
blue by 21.4
141
#1
172.91.6
164.1165.7
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
Second
4377
#10
144.81.7
141.1142.9
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End25.9
red by 1.3
5072
#27
143.51.3
143.3144.6
Auto16.0
Teleop107.4
End16.1
Third
4390
#38
98.60.2
103.5103.3
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
blue by 32.4
4835
#19
131.00.4
129.2129.6
Auto18.0
Teleop91.2
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed