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Red388
4392170.9
5702133.2
4377144.8
Blue160
5486123.7
439098.6
5072143.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398241100200300500600700388160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.90.6
166.0166.6
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
red by 27.4
5072
#27
143.50.9
144.6145.5
Auto16.0
Teleop107.4
End16.1
Second
4377
#10
144.80.2
142.9143.0
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End25.9
red by 21.1
5486
#28
123.70.2
125.6125.4
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
Third
5702
#13
133.21.8
126.8128.6
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
red by 34.6
4390
#38
98.61.4
103.3101.9
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed