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Red251
5702133.2
5989104.3
4970177.2
Blue452
4391186.7
5084152.5
4392170.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245417100200300500600700251452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.21.5
171.9173.5
Auto25.9
Teleop128.4
End25.4
blue by 9.5
186.70.0
184.3184.3
Auto29.2
Teleop137.9
End19.7
Second
5702
#13
133.21.7
128.6130.2
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
blue by 37.6
170.90.7
166.6167.3
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
Third
5989
#33
104.30.6
104.2103.6
Auto15.7
Teleop79.1
End12.0
blue by 48.2
152.51.4
147.4148.8
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed