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Red210
659999.3
5562101.6
5486123.7
Blue221
6079102.3
32289.6
2586146.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462980100200400500600210221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5486
#28
123.70.7
124.4123.7
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
blue by 22.8
2586
#15
146.50.8
145.4146.2
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End18.0
Second
5562
#30
101.60.3
101.9101.6
Auto13.5
Teleop77.8
End7.8
blue by 0.8
6079
#29
102.30.6
101.7102.3
Auto15.6
Teleop77.8
End6.6
Third
6599
#25
99.31.9
96.298.1
Auto16.3
Teleop77.7
End5.2
red by 9.7
322
#36
89.60.2
89.889.6
Auto12.1
Teleop66.8
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed