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Red333
4391186.7
141172.9
4988119.1
Blue457
2586146.5
1596160.0
5714125.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395285100200500600700333457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.70.5
186.2186.7
Auto29.2
Teleop137.9
End19.7
red by 26.7
160.00.7
157.9158.6
Auto19.7
Teleop121.9
End18.7
Second
141
#1
172.90.6
172.3172.9
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
red by 26.4
2586
#15
146.50.1
146.3146.3
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End18.0
Third
4988
#32
119.10.1
119.3119.1
Auto16.9
Teleop90.8
End10.9
blue by 6.5
5714
#34
125.60.2
125.0125.2
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0