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Red319
5527109.7
5662104.8
4130167.0
Blue187
7168104.7
6098130.4
5048128.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172550100200400500600319187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.00.8
161.6162.5
Auto18.6
Teleop129.2
End20.9
red by 36.6
6098
#22
130.40.1
125.3125.4
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
Second
5527
#38
109.71.1
119.6118.5
Auto16.1
Teleop83.3
End9.6
blue by 18.3
5048
#28
128.00.4
130.2130.6
Auto17.7
Teleop98.5
End10.6
Third
5662
#31
104.81.5
107.7106.2
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
red by 0.1
7168
#39
104.70.1
102.7102.8
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed