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Red192
5201110.6
1718160.2
7224111.3
Blue222
5048128.0
4130167.0
6019133.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242354100200300400500600192222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#12
160.20.4
150.7150.3
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
blue by 6.8
167.01.1
162.5163.5
Auto18.6
Teleop129.2
End20.9
Second
7224
#24
111.30.4
103.8104.2
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
blue by 22.4
6019
#19
133.71.1
123.2124.3
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End19.4
Third
5201
#40
110.60.9
106.8107.8
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
blue by 17.5
5048
#28
128.00.3
130.6130.9
Auto17.7
Teleop98.5
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed