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Red380
1684163.0
7218107.4
4130167.0
Blue258
6086141.3
5235129.1
5114176.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963450100200400500600700800380258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.00.7
164.1163.4
Auto18.6
Teleop129.2
End20.9
blue by 9.5
176.50.6
173.5172.8
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
Second
163.01.5
149.5151.0
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
red by 21.7
6086
#16
141.30.2
143.9143.7
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
Third
7218
#25
107.40.0
103.2103.2
Auto17.1
Teleop77.8
End14.8
blue by 21.6
5235
#29
129.10.1
131.4131.3
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed