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Red391
1684163.0
7188102.1
1718160.2
Blue118
6098130.4
5695122.7
7206129.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322670100200300400500600700391118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.02.1
151.0153.0
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
red by 32.7
6098
#22
130.41.1
126.5127.6
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
Second
1718
#12
160.20.2
150.4150.3
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
red by 30.8
7206
#15
129.50.6
131.3131.9
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End11.1
Third
7188
#30
102.10.7
101.1100.4
Auto14.9
Teleop79.1
End9.0
blue by 20.6
5695
#26
122.70.7
124.8125.5
Auto18.3
Teleop90.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed