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Red137
377395.6
3619115.9
5048128.0
Blue222
7168104.7
5447109.2
5662104.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28926450100150200350400450137222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#28
128.00.1
130.5130.6
Auto17.7
Teleop98.5
End10.6
red by 18.8
5447
#37
109.20.3
111.7111.4
Auto16.8
Teleop75.9
End15.7
Second
3619
#21
115.90.5
117.5117.0
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
red by 11.1
5662
#31
104.80.1
103.0102.9
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
Third
3773
#23
95.61.0
91.993.0
Auto12.4
Teleop68.0
End19.5
blue by 9.1
7168
#39
104.70.7
104.4105.1
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed