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Red300
3175128.6
6344134.7
3619115.9
Blue212
5114176.5
7224111.3
247151.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703780100200300500600300212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6344
#18
134.70.3
131.2131.5
Auto18.6
Teleop101.7
End14.4
blue by 41.7
176.50.8
172.0172.8
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
Second
3175
#13
128.61.3
123.2124.5
Auto15.3
Teleop92.8
End21.6
blue by 22.6
247
#11
151.31.0
153.7152.7
Auto19.6
Teleop110.2
End20.8
Third
3619
#21
115.91.3
117.0115.7
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
red by 4.6
7224
#24
111.31.2
105.2106.4
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed