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Red346
4130167.0
523996.9
5167132.5
Blue150
7188102.1
5527109.7
5533139.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274296150200250350400346150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.00.8
159.4160.2
Auto18.6
Teleop129.2
End20.9
red by 27.8
5533
#10
139.20.6
140.5141.2
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
Second
5167
#35
132.50.4
126.9127.3
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
red by 22.8
5527
#38
109.71.1
118.9120.0
Auto16.1
Teleop83.3
End9.6
Third
5239
#32
96.90.5
90.389.8
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End13.1
blue by 5.2
7188
#30
102.10.5
105.4105.9
Auto14.9
Teleop79.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed