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Red157
5695122.7
5447109.2
7224111.3
Blue409
217223.1
5167132.5
5662104.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216418100300500600700800157409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#26
122.70.4
123.7123.2
Auto18.3
Teleop90.9
End12.0
blue by 100.4
217
#1
223.12.0
215.5217.5
Auto22.7
Teleop165.2
End35.1
Second
7224
#24
111.32.0
107.8109.9
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
blue by 21.2
5167
#35
132.50.7
132.9132.2
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
Third
5447
#37
109.20.7
110.6109.9
Auto16.8
Teleop75.9
End15.7
red by 4.4
5662
#31
104.80.6
103.4103.9
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed