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Red216
5260141.1
5048128.0
6344134.7
Blue361
3667151.9
5235129.1
5533139.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289333100200400500600216361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#33
141.11.0
142.0141.1
Auto14.6
Teleop107.3
End15.6
blue by 10.8
151.91.2
148.9150.1
Auto20.0
Teleop117.5
End16.3
Second
6344
#18
134.70.6
134.1134.6
Auto18.6
Teleop101.7
End14.4
blue by 4.5
5533
#10
139.20.8
140.1139.3
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
Third
5048
#28
128.00.7
128.7128.0
Auto17.7
Teleop98.5
End10.6
blue by 1.0
5235
#29
129.10.4
129.4129.0
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed