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Red341
3619115.9
5860140.3
5695122.7
Blue254
3175128.6
5201110.6
4130167.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553690100200300400500600700341254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#14
140.30.4
139.3139.7
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0
blue by 26.7
167.00.3
167.1167.4
Auto18.6
Teleop129.2
End20.9
Second
5695
#26
122.70.6
123.2122.7
Auto18.3
Teleop90.9
End12.0
blue by 5.9
3175
#13
128.60.6
128.0128.6
Auto15.3
Teleop92.8
End21.6
Third
3619
#21
115.90.4
114.0114.4
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
red by 5.3
5201
#40
110.60.0
110.6110.6
Auto15.1
Teleop83.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed