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Red244
6098130.4
3667151.9
7224111.3
Blue355
5695122.7
6086141.3
3534153.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270320100200400500600244355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.91.1
134.1135.2
Auto20.0
Teleop117.5
End16.3
blue by 1.6
153.51.1
129.0130.1
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
Second
6098
#22
130.40.3
125.6125.3
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End24.8
blue by 11.0
6086
#16
141.30.5
142.8142.3
Auto17.0
Teleop110.1
End14.4
Third
7224
#24
111.30.1
103.2103.4
Auto20.1
Teleop82.3
End12.5
blue by 11.4
5695
#26
122.71.2
126.8125.6
Auto18.3
Teleop90.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed