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Red431
5509175.1
5603162.3
7213129.8
Blue272
2619124.5
5712162.2
6093131.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404293100200500600700800431272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.10.2
174.7174.9
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
red by 12.9
162.20.2
161.8162.0
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
Second
162.30.8
160.7161.5
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
red by 31.3
6093
#18
131.00.3
130.4130.7
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
Third
7213
#19
129.80.3
129.1129.4
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
red by 5.3
124.50.5
123.6124.0
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8