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Red345
2619124.5
5712162.2
6093131.0
Blue299
6067141.3
5224151.8
4819122.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321378100200500600700800345299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.20.2
160.7160.9
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
red by 10.3
5224
#11
151.80.5
150.9151.4
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
Second
6093
#18
131.00.3
128.9129.2
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
blue by 10.3
6067
#17
141.30.8
139.8140.6
Auto16.4
Teleop101.2
End27.6
Third
124.50.6
120.7121.3
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8
red by 1.6
4819
#16
122.90.9
121.1122.1
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End15.7