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Red162
5224151.8
5203115.1
6073114.4
Blue342
7213129.8
5229124.2
5216158.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308290150200250350400450500162342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5224
#11
151.81.1
139.3140.5
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
blue by 6.7
158.51.0
146.6147.5
Auto17.9
Teleop114.3
End24.0
Second
5203
#29
115.15.3
105.5110.8
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End1.3
blue by 14.7
7213
#19
129.86.9
87.194.0
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
Third
6073
#23
114.40.2
115.6115.8
Auto13.1
Teleop78.0
End22.2
blue by 9.8
5229
#12
124.21.9
123.4121.6
Auto16.0
Teleop90.4
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed