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Red425
5982152.3
5712162.2
6093131.0
Blue241
5257101.8
5447110.3
6559122.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341236100200300400500425241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.20.2
148.2148.4
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
red by 39.9
6559
#30
122.31.4
112.7114.1
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1
Second
5982
#10
152.35.4
115.0120.4
Auto18.2
Teleop111.0
End25.6
red by 42.0
5447
#25
110.33.1
107.0110.0
Auto14.4
Teleop79.8
End17.1
Third
6093
#18
131.00.5
120.9120.4
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
red by 29.2
5257
#35
101.83.6
99.9103.5
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed