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Red432
438292.3
3770175.2
6649118.3
Blue198
5203115.1
607196.4
5229124.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310253100200400500432198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.21.1
171.1172.2
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
red by 51.0
5229
#12
124.21.1
121.6120.5
Auto16.0
Teleop90.4
End21.1
Second
6649
#20
118.30.1
106.5106.6
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
red by 3.2
5203
#29
115.11.2
110.8112.0
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End1.3
Third
4382
#39DQ
92.30.6
96.595.9
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End7.9
blue by 4.1
6071
#28
96.40.4
105.2104.7
Auto13.4
Teleop75.2
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed