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Red235
2619124.5
6559122.3
6073114.4
Blue212
5504114.0
6649118.3
607196.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290273150200250350400235212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.50.4
114.4114.9
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8
red by 6.2
6649
#20
118.31.1
106.6107.8
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
Second
6559
#30
122.31.4
114.1115.5
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1
red by 8.3
114.00.9
104.5105.4
Auto19.3
Teleop86.8
End9.3
Third
6073
#23
114.40.5
115.1114.6
Auto13.1
Teleop78.0
End22.2
red by 18.0
6071
#28
96.42.3
104.7102.4
Auto13.4
Teleop75.2
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed