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Red185
6649118.3
6073114.4
5661120.9
Blue353
5447110.3
6193163.5
5156113.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363320100200300400500600185353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5661
#36
120.916.2
72.488.6
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.8
blue by 42.6
163.50.3
137.7138.0
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
Second
6649
#20
118.30.4
107.6107.2
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
red by 4.6
5156
#31
113.616.2
72.488.7
Auto13.7
Teleop92.2
End5.8
Third
6073
#23
114.40.7
114.6115.3
Auto13.1
Teleop78.0
End22.2
red by 4.1
5447
#25
110.316.4
70.987.3
Auto14.4
Teleop79.8
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned