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Red413
5661120.9
6559122.3
5424153.8
Blue215
6649118.3
7213129.8
5257101.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232540100200400500413215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.80.1
147.5147.6
Auto22.5
Teleop114.3
End15.0
red by 24.0
7213
#19
129.82.7
114.9117.6
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
Second
6559
#30
122.31.0
117.8118.9
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1
red by 4.0
6649
#20
118.31.3
110.0111.3
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
Third
5661
#36
120.92.1
112.7114.8
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.8
red by 19.1
5257
#35
101.82.2
109.2107.0
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed