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Red382
5193130.8
655293.4
6649118.3
Blue164
5257101.8
5166107.0
5661120.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272265100150200300350400450382164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#21
130.82.8
116.6119.4
Auto17.4
Teleop100.8
End14.5
red by 9.9
5661
#36
120.93.9
114.8118.7
Auto15.6
Teleop92.5
End11.8
Second
6649
#20
118.30.9
111.3112.1
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
red by 11.2
5166
#40
107.00.8
110.8110.0
Auto15.4
Teleop79.6
End10.8
Third
6552
#22
93.41.3
95.293.9
Auto13.2
Teleop67.3
End15.1
blue by 8.4
5257
#35
101.81.6
107.0105.4
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed