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Red348
5224151.8
3770175.2
6559122.3
Blue212
5424153.8
5156113.6
5193130.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342311100200400500600348212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.21.8
167.2169.0
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
red by 21.4
153.81.3
143.5144.8
Auto22.5
Teleop114.3
End15.0
Second
5224
#11
151.80.7
138.6139.3
Auto23.7
Teleop113.2
End14.7
red by 21.0
5193
#21
130.87.5
97.7105.2
Auto17.4
Teleop100.8
End14.5
Third
6559
#30
122.31.4
109.7111.1
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1
red by 8.6
5156
#31
113.613.1
88.7101.7
Auto13.7
Teleop92.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed