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Red317
5509175.1
5603162.3
7213129.8
Blue262
3770175.2
5424153.8
6559122.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385316200500600700317262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.10.2
174.5174.7
Auto20.4
Teleop127.6
End27.3
blue by 0.1
175.20.2
175.4175.2
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End24.2
Second
162.31.0
159.7160.7
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
red by 8.5
153.80.2
153.5153.8
Auto22.5
Teleop114.3
End15.0
Third
7213
#19
129.80.4
128.7129.1
Auto17.0
Teleop95.9
End16.7
red by 7.5
6559
#30
122.30.2
122.4122.3
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1