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Red339
6193163.5
5216158.5
6073114.4
Blue362
2619124.5
5712162.2
6093131.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377311100200500600700339362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.50.4
162.8163.2
Auto20.1
Teleop119.7
End23.5
red by 1.3
162.20.2
161.4161.5
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
Second
158.50.0
158.6158.6
Auto17.9
Teleop114.3
End24.0
red by 27.6
6093
#18
131.00.3
129.9130.1
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
Third
6073
#23
114.40.1
114.2114.4
Auto13.1
Teleop78.0
End22.2
blue by 10.1
124.50.5
122.5123.0
Auto21.0
Teleop92.8
End11.8