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Red160
33200.6
67188.5
1701156.2
Blue360
3536180.9
3707195.9
7178128.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388368200300500600160360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
200.60.1
200.7200.6
Auto22.6
Teleop150.4
End24.1
red by 4.7
195.90.7
195.2195.9
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
Second
67
#1
188.50.3
188.7188.5
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
red by 7.6
180.90.1
180.8180.9
Auto23.8
Teleop128.2
End27.3
Third
1701
#15
156.20.3
156.5156.2
Auto18.7
Teleop109.6
End23.2
red by 28.2
7178
#25
128.00.3
127.7128.0
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9