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Red223
4776146.1
27171.4
6117155.8
Blue346
4362165.9
5460169.0
201154.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373750100200300500600700223346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
171.40.5
170.6171.0
Auto23.1
Teleop119.9
End31.8
red by 2.4
169.00.5
167.0167.5
Auto22.1
Teleop122.6
End23.4
Second
6117
#20
155.80.6
154.7155.3
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End24.0
blue by 10.1
165.90.7
163.4164.1
Auto21.9
Teleop126.6
End17.9
Third
4776
#13
146.10.3
145.6145.9
Auto18.1
Teleop111.2
End16.6
blue by 8.5
201
#27
154.60.2
153.8154.0
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End14.4