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Red429
3536180.9
3707195.9
7178128.0
Blue232
2960151.3
308148.2
2612134.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437285100200400500600700429232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.90.8
191.0191.8
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
red by 44.6
2960
#17
151.30.5
150.4150.9
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
Second
180.90.1
181.2181.1
Auto23.8
Teleop128.2
End27.3
red by 32.7
308
#8
148.20.6
147.0147.6
Auto17.9
Teleop104.1
End29.2
Third
7178
#25
128.00.3
126.1126.3
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9
blue by 6.6
2612
#35
134.60.7
136.0135.3
Auto17.0
Teleop101.3
End15.5