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Red172
2960151.3
722391.1
1701156.2
Blue344
7232112.4
4362165.9
308148.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310270150200250350400450172344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#15
156.21.3
151.0152.3
Auto18.7
Teleop109.6
End23.2
blue by 9.7
165.92.3
146.2148.6
Auto21.9
Teleop126.6
End17.9
Second
2960
#17
151.311.6
114.9126.6
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
red by 3.1
308
#8
148.211.0
97.0108.0
Auto17.9
Teleop104.1
End29.2
Third
7223
#39
91.10.0
106.9106.9
Auto14.6
Teleop72.8
End6.1
blue by 21.3
7232
#32
112.41.0
106.4105.4
Auto15.1
Teleop83.3
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed