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Red263
4994143.5
5561167.9
7191104.9
Blue95
201154.6
5215112.2
722391.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32523410020030040050060026395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.91.6
148.5150.0
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
red by 13.3
201
#27
154.60.0
153.0153.0
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End14.4
Second
4994
#14
143.51.5
141.2142.8
Auto22.7
Teleop106.2
End13.7
red by 31.3
5215
#31
112.20.7
122.1122.9
Auto18.4
Teleop78.3
End12.8
Third
7191
#30
104.92.7
86.789.4
Auto15.4
Teleop79.1
End14.3
red by 13.8
7223
#39
91.11.1
106.9105.9
Auto14.6
Teleop72.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed