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Red118
548145.6
3668148.5
7192112.1
Blue394
4362165.9
7195127.9
6117155.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293335200400500600118394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#10
148.50.2
151.9152.2
Auto20.3
Teleop105.1
End23.3
blue by 17.4
165.92.5
148.6151.1
Auto21.9
Teleop126.6
End17.9
Second
548
#28
145.63.0
139.6142.6
Auto18.1
Teleop109.9
End16.9
blue by 10.3
6117
#20
155.81.6
139.4141.0
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End24.0
Third
7192
#36
112.12.2
110.1112.3
Auto19.0
Teleop82.5
End11.4
blue by 15.9
7195
#22
127.98.2
92.1100.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.5
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed