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Red264
51146.3
3568117.7
5641112.4
Blue343
67188.5
2960151.3
6190123.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232370100200300400500600700264343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#12
146.31.7
128.0129.7
Auto17.7
Teleop107.4
End24.3
blue by 42.1
67
#1
188.51.0
172.5173.5
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
Second
3568
#21
117.70.5
111.3110.8
Auto16.9
Teleop81.5
End23.2
blue by 33.6
2960
#17
151.34.7
126.6131.3
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
Third
5641
#23
112.41.5
102.3103.9
Auto16.9
Teleop87.7
End8.2
blue by 10.9
6190
#24
123.30.5
103.5104.0
Auto15.9
Teleop85.3
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed