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Red433
33200.6
3668148.5
5561167.9
Blue282
1701156.2
7192112.1
4776146.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407255100200300500433282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
200.61.6
188.2189.7
Auto22.6
Teleop150.4
End24.1
red by 44.4
1701
#15
156.20.5
152.2152.7
Auto18.7
Teleop109.6
End23.2
Second
167.91.2
150.0151.3
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
red by 21.8
4776
#13
146.18.0
127.3135.3
Auto18.1
Teleop111.2
End16.6
Third
3668
#10
148.51.2
152.2151.0
Auto20.3
Teleop105.1
End23.3
red by 36.4
7192
#36
112.10.4
112.3112.6
Auto19.0
Teleop82.5
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed