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Red430
3707195.9
6190123.3
2145151.5
Blue163
6078110.6
27171.4
5685107.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345255100200300400500430163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.92.1
169.7171.8
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
red by 24.6
27
#5
171.41.3
157.1158.4
Auto23.1
Teleop119.9
End31.8
Second
2145
#18
151.50.9
145.9145.0
Auto13.7
Teleop120.1
End16.4
red by 40.8
6078
#33
110.65.8
111.5117.3
Auto16.5
Teleop86.4
End9.6
Third
6190
#24
123.30.6
104.0104.6
Auto15.9
Teleop85.3
End21.6
red by 15.8
5685
#34
107.52.6
99.8102.4
Auto15.7
Teleop78.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed