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Red205
201154.6
7191104.9
2612134.6
Blue412
2960151.3
4776146.1
4362165.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281327100200400500205412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#27
154.61.5
151.4152.9
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End14.4
blue by 11.3
165.90.9
145.3146.2
Auto21.9
Teleop126.6
End17.9
Second
2612
#35
134.613.6
97.0110.6
Auto17.0
Teleop101.3
End15.5
blue by 16.7
2960
#17
151.313.0
101.9114.9
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
Third
7191
#30
104.936.1
113.977.7
Auto15.4
Teleop79.1
End14.3
blue by 41.2
4776
#13
146.114.2
91.3105.5
Auto18.1
Teleop111.2
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed