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Red375
3668148.5
5460169.0
2145151.5
Blue368
3707195.9
7232112.4
201154.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365304200400500600375368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.02.6
160.5163.1
Auto22.1
Teleop122.6
End23.4
blue by 26.9
195.92.5
178.0180.5
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
Second
2145
#18
151.51.4
146.4147.9
Auto13.7
Teleop120.1
End16.4
blue by 3.1
201
#27
154.60.1
150.6150.5
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End14.4
Third
3668
#10
148.50.2
150.1150.0
Auto20.3
Teleop105.1
End23.3
red by 36.1
7232
#32
112.40.2
107.4107.5
Auto15.1
Teleop83.3
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed