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Red229
6559108.4
4776146.1
7195127.9
Blue420
6078110.6
7225171.8
2960151.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302335100200400500229420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#13
146.10.1
142.8142.9
Auto18.1
Teleop111.2
End16.6
blue by 25.7
7225
#19
171.81.7
161.5163.2
Auto26.3
Teleop128.5
End17.5
Second
7195
#22
127.92.2
121.8124.0
Auto16.6
Teleop92.5
End16.6
blue by 23.3
2960
#17
151.31.2
141.7142.9
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
Third
6559
#40
108.40.5
111.8111.3
Auto13.7
Teleop84.3
End12.1
blue by 2.2
6078
#33
110.63.0
116.2113.2
Auto16.5
Teleop86.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed