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Red420
7195127.9
503169.9
5641112.4
Blue118
5685107.5
7178128.0
7232112.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152330100200400500420118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#11
169.90.2
170.8170.5
Auto24.6
Teleop126.0
End19.7
red by 41.8
7178
#25
128.059.1
136.877.7
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9
Second
7195
#22
127.954.8
132.677.7
Auto16.6
Teleop92.5
End16.6
red by 15.5
7232
#32
112.40.2
106.6106.4
Auto15.1
Teleop83.3
End15.4
Third
5641
#23
112.40.8
100.0100.8
Auto16.9
Teleop87.7
End8.2
red by 4.9
5685
#34
107.516.6
68.885.4
Auto15.7
Teleop78.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed