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Red136
658393.7
1701156.2
7178128.0
Blue462
3707195.9
67188.5
6559108.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257421100200300500600700136462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#15
156.20.2
156.7156.9
Auto18.7
Teleop109.6
End23.2
blue by 39.7
195.92.8
183.2186.0
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
Second
7178
#25
128.01.4
125.1126.4
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9
blue by 60.4
67
#1
188.50.6
184.7185.3
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
Third
6583
#38
93.71.3
92.593.7
Auto14.2
Teleop74.5
End4.6
blue by 14.7
6559
#40
108.40.7
108.8108.1
Auto13.7
Teleop84.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed54%Face the Boss oddsEarned