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Red292
308148.2
7225171.8
3668148.5
Blue470
503169.9
3536180.9
5524147.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339411100200300500600292470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7225
#19
171.82.5
167.0169.5
Auto26.3
Teleop128.5
End17.5
blue by 9.1
180.92.3
177.0179.3
Auto23.8
Teleop128.2
End27.3
Second
3668
#10
148.50.5
150.2149.7
Auto20.3
Teleop105.1
End23.3
blue by 21.4
503
#11
169.90.8
171.1170.3
Auto24.6
Teleop126.0
End19.7
Third
308
#8
148.22.1
144.1146.1
Auto17.9
Teleop104.1
End29.2
red by 0.7
5524
#16
147.61.0
144.6145.6
Auto17.5
Teleop111.6
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed