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Red99
503169.9
5685107.5
658393.7
Blue455
5561167.9
7192112.1
5460169.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27233210020030040050099455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#11
169.90.8
170.5171.3
Auto24.6
Teleop126.0
End19.7
red by 0.9
169.08.5
121.2129.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.6
End23.4
Second
5685
#34
107.58.7
85.494.2
Auto15.7
Teleop78.9
End12.0
blue by 60.3
167.90.3
148.2148.5
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
Third
6583
#38
93.76.6
85.992.5
Auto14.2
Teleop74.5
End4.6
blue by 18.4
7192
#36
112.11.2
108.9110.1
Auto19.0
Teleop82.5
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned