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Red518
2337204.5
3539190.6
6085128.1
Blue132
5460196.6
1684185.8
818137.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375322100200500600700518132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.50.0
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
red by 7.9
196.60.0
196.6196.6
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Second
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 4.8
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Third
6085
#23
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
blue by 9.1
818
#24
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5