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Red430
4362194.3
5712162.6
5612144.3
Blue379
548149.1
3535153.4
226183.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407315200500600700800430379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.30.0
194.3194.3
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
red by 10.6
226
#15
183.60.0
183.6183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
Second
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
red by 9.2
3535
#11
153.40.0
153.4153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
Third
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
blue by 4.8
548
#16
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9